Recall Error in the Year of Retirement
Inhalt
This project analyzes recall error in the year of retirement by comparing the self-report
of respondents of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) with
administrative records of the same person provided by the German Pension Fund. A
comparison of the two data sources show that 36.5 % of the respondents misreported the
year they retired. Based on research from cognitive psychology, different determinants
to explain the error are identified. A hurdle regression model is estimated consisting
of two steps: first a logistic regression analyzing whether or not respondents make an
error and second a zero-truncated negative binomial model to predict the size of the
error. The results show that cognitive abilities as well as characteristics of the event
are correlated with the error in both steps. In addition, some effects differ for male and
female respondents.
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