Demography and the Costs of Health Care in Germany

This project, commissioned by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, provides projections of future health care costs is Germany. These projections are based on age-cost profiles which vary by age of patient as well as proximity to death. They also include a wide range of assumptions on the compression of morbidity and future price changes split by wages and pharmaceutical products. It also includes an analysis of health care productivity based on earlier studies by McKinsey and Co. The resulting cost projections therefore vary widely depending on such assumptions. Key poiont of the study is to show how future costs depend on current and future policy changes. This project has been successfully completed by a paper published in a conference volume edited by the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung.