Large Response to Delayed Eligibility or a Pre-Existing Trend in Female Participation? Re-Examining an Australian Pension Reform | Munich Center for the Economics of Aging - MEA
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01.08.2019 - 31.12.2020 / Life-Cycle Decisions
In Cooperation with MEA

Large Response to Delayed Eligibility or a Pre-Existing Trend in Female Participation? Re-Examining an Australian Pension Reform

Atalay and Barrett ( Review of Economics and Statistics  2015, 97 (1): 71-87) study an Australian reform that increased women's pension age from 60 to 65. Using repeated surveys and a differences-in-differences design in which males form the comparison group, they estimate that the reform increased female labor force participation by 12 percentage points. I successfully replicate this estimate but show, using earlier data, that the parallel-trends assumption did not hold before the reform because of a female-specific participation trend across cohorts. Accounting for this trend, the estimated effect on female participation falls by two-thirds and becomes statistically insignificant at conventional levels.

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Todd Morris, Ph. D.

Presentations and Contributions
22.10.2019
Todd Morris, Ph. D.
Raising women’s pension-eligibility age in Australia: Effects on labor supply, welfare receipt, poverty and inequality